간행물

중국지역학회> 중국지역연구

중국지역연구 update

The Journal of China Area Studies

  • : 중국지역학회
  • : 인문과학분야  >  동양사
  • : KCI등재
  • :
  • : 연속간행물
  • : 계간
  • : 2383-8515
  • :
  • :

수록정보
수록범위 : 1권1호(2014)~7권3호(2020) |수록논문 수 : 130
중국지역연구
7권3호(2020년 08월) 수록논문
최근 권호 논문
| | | |

KCI등재

1중국 기간프리미엄(Term Premium)의 미래 경기예측력과 특징 연구

저자 : 이기영 ( Lee Kiryoung )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 1-26 (26 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

In the previous study, the predictive power of “Expected Short-term rate”, which is known to be closely related to the accuracy of future economic prediction, was lowered by the long-term low interest rate and quantitative easing policies. Instead, the prediction of “Term Premium” increased due to the increased uncertainty in a recent Western study. Research is centered on studies conducted regarding the US economy.
In the study, the predictive power of “Expected Short-term rate” and “Term Premium” was verified by using individual real economy variables such as export, import, and industrial production as dependent variables instead of using GDP as a dependent variable. As a result, the predictive power of “Expected Short-term rate”, which was the traditional opinion of China, was found to be very strong, and “Term Premium” was statistically significant only for models that excluded “Expected Short-term rate.” Even though some “Expected Short-term rate” variables were controlled, it was found that they did not have statistically significant explanatory power. However, it was considered statistically significant in the model excluding “Expected Short-term rate.” It has been confirmed that “Term Premium” does not act as noise in future economic predictions.
Lastly are the analysis results of the impact factors of “Term Premium” in China and the US. In China, inflation clearly showed a significant impact on “Term Premium”, and in the United States, inflation did not significantly affect “Term Premium” though industrial production had a clear effect. This can be interpreted to be because China has a macroeconomic structure sensitive to inflation, while the United States is showing the patten of exporting inflation through the key currency of the dollar.

KCI등재

2중국 비현금결제의 확대가 화폐수요 및 유통속도에 미치는 영향

저자 : 한지민 ( Han Jimin )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 27-57 (31 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

기술의 발달로 금융분야에도 혁신이 일어나면서, 인터넷과 모바일을 이용한 비현금결제가 급격히 확대되고 있다. 비현금결제수단은 지불수단으로서의 현금기능을 대체하여 화폐수요와 경제 내 화폐 유통속도를 변화시켜 통화정책의 경로 및 효율성에 영향을 줄 수 있다. 최근 핀테크의 선두주자로 꼽히고 있는 중국은 지급결제 환경에서 큰 변화를 겪고 있는데 실생활에서 현금의 사용이 눈에 띄게 줄어들고 있으며 이에 따라 디지털화폐 혹은 전자결제 등의 비현금결제수단이 무현금사회로의 변화를 촉진할 것이라는 전망까지 나오고 있는 상황이다. 본 연구는 중국의 비현금결제 확대가 중국의 화폐환경에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 선행연구들과의 비교를 통해 시사점을 도출해내고자 하였다. 2008년-2019년의 시계열 자료를 사용하여 ARDL 모형으로 중국 비현금결제 변수가 화폐수요 및 유통속도에 미친 영향을 실증분석 한 결과, 비현금결제 확대가 화폐수요를 유의하게 감소시키지 않으며, 오히려 화폐유통속도를 감소시키는 것으로 나타났다. 이 결과는 기존 화폐이론 및 주요 선행연구들과 차이를 보였는데, 금융기술의 발전으로 비현금결제가 확대되더라도 반드시 화폐수요가 즉시 반응하는 것은 아니며, 경제주체들의 화폐 보유 동기에서 지불수단으로서의 기능이 차지하는 비중이 예상보다 작을 수 있다는 점을 시사한다. 따라서 금융환경의 변화에 따른 통화정책 조절에는 신중함이 필요하다.


With the development of technology, innovation in the financial field is taking place, and cashless payments using the Internet and mobile services are rapidly expanding. Cashless payment can replace the cash as means of payment, thereby changing the demand for money and the velocity of money in the economy, which can affect the path and efficiency of monetary policy. Recently, China, which is considered to be the leader of Fintech, has experienced a major change in the payment and settlement environment, and the use of cash is decreasing significantly in daily life, and there is a view that cashless payment such as digital money or electronic payment will promote the change to a cashless society.
This study analyzed the impact of the expansion of cashless payment in China on monetary environment, and tried to find suggestions compared to previous studies. Using the 2008-2019 serial data to empirical analysis of the effect of cashless payment variables on demand for money and velocity of money in China by ARDL model, it was found that the expansion of cashless payment variables did not significantly reduce demand for money, but rather reduced the velocity of money. This result shows a difference from existing theory and major research. Even if cashless payment are expanded due to the development of financial technology, the money demand does not necessarily respond immediately, and the ratio of the motivation of holding money as means of payment of economic entities can be smaller than expected. Therefore, it is necessary to be careful when adjusting monetary policy as the financial environment changes.

KCI등재

3中国刑事司法视野下网络虚拟财产的法律性质与价值评估研究

저자 : 张光君 ( Zhang Guangjun ) , 李卓周 ( Li Zhuozhou )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 59-91 (33 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

2020年5月通过的 ≪中华人民共和国民法典≫ 第127条对网络虚拟财产的保护问题作了宣示性规定, 但是具体保护规则不清晰。在中国刑事司法实践中,对网络虚拟财产法律性质的认识存在分歧, 同时也缺乏针对网络虚拟财产的价值评估标准, 导致同案不同判、量刑畸轻或畸重的情况时有发生。
目前, 中国法律在网络虚拟财产价值评估方面还缺少相应的强制规定,加上网络虚拟财产具有依附性、数字性等特点,使得网络虚拟财产缺乏专门的管理部门, 没有明确的虚拟财产价值计算方法, 导致司法实践中网络虚拟财产的价值常常难以准确评估。因此, 在理论上非常有必要明确网络虚拟财产的性质和计算方法。
通过对现有网络虚拟财产法律性质的几种学说进行比较, 并在对其他国家的 相关立法进行比较的基础上, 本文认为在中国刑事司法实践中, 应当将网络虚 拟财产统一定性为中国刑法第92条之中的 “其他财产”予以保护。进一步通过对现有网络虚拟财产价值的计算方法进行分析, 提出网络虚拟财产价值评估的新思路, 为解决当前中国刑事司法实践中有关网络虚拟财产犯罪案件的定罪量刑问题提出建议。


Article 127 of the Civil Code of the people's Republic of China adopted in May 2020 makes declarative provisions on the protection of network virtual property, but the specific protection rules are not clear. In the practice of criminal justice in China, there are differences in the understanding of the legal nature of network virtual property, and there is also a lack of value evaluation standards for network virtual property, resulting in different sentences in the same case, light or heavy sentencing often occurs.
At present, China's law in the evaluation of the value of network virtual property is still lack of corresponding mandatory provisions, coupled with the characteristics of network virtual property such as dependency, digital, making the network virtual property lack of special management department, there is no clear calculation method of virtual property value, leading to the value of network virtual property in judicial practice is often difficult to accurately assess. Therefore, in theory, it is necessary to clarify the nature and calculation method of network virtual property.
By comparing several theories of the legal nature of the network virtual property, and on the basis of comparing the relevant legislation of other countries, this paper holds that in China's criminal justice practice, the network virtual property should be uniformly defined as “other property” in Article 92 of the Chinese criminal law to be protected. Further, through the analysis of the existing calculation methods of the value of network virtual property, this paper puts forward a new idea of value evaluation of network virtual property, and puts forward suggestions for solving the problem of conviction and sentencing of network virtual property crime cases in the current criminal judicial practice of China.

KCI등재

4对青年马克思 “利益难题”的法律透视 -以立法活动中的私人利益扩张为视角-

저자 : 李世伟 ( Shiwei Li ) , 阴昭晖 ( Zhaohui Yin )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 93-119 (27 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

意识到对物质利益发表意见的难题, 是担任 ≪莱茵报≫主编时期的马克思经历的重大理论事件。本文借助 “关于林木盗窃法的辩论”、“摩泽尔记者的辩护”这两篇法律类政论材料, 运用动态和主体性分析的视角和方法, 力求理解青年马克思的“物质利益”概念和遭遇的物质利益难题。
本文通过分析认为, 青年马克思所认识的物质利益(私人利益)是由利益主导者(社会上层)的利己主义观念的局限性所引发的, 无节制地动态扩张的历史过程, 社会的贫富差距不过是这一动态历史过程的现实反映。利己主义观念的局限性是物质利益无节制扩张的观念动因, 而某些受到 “非理性的立法”保护的社会上层利益的无节制扩张, 才是贫困和对抗的制度动因。基于对这两大原因的洞察, 马克思借助黑格尔的法哲学试图依靠 “理性”、 “法”、 “国家权威”等观念和理性的法律制度来抑制住私人利益无节制扩张的贪欲, 反对物质利益的分配极度不公的制度, 从而解决社会物质利益难题。但随着 ≪莱茵报≫被查禁, 马克思很快就发现了黑格尔法哲学脱离实际和抽象空想的局限, 从而深切体会到必须对物质利益进行系统化的研究。这使他下决心从法哲学的批判转向了政治经济学批判。


When Marx was an editor-in-chief of Rheinische Zeitung, he realized the problem of material interests. This is an important theoretical event that Marx experienced. With the assistance of “the debate on the law of forest theft” and “the defense of the Mosel journalist”, this article, by adopting the perspective and method of dynamic and subject analysis, tries to understand the concept of “material interests problem” proposed by young Marx and the “material interests problem” he encountered.
Through analysis, this article points out that the material interests (private interests) as recognized by young Marx were triggered by the limitation of the egoism of the interest-oriented people (the upper class of the society). This is a historical process of unrestrained and dynamic expansion. The gap between the rich and the poor was merely a realistic reflection of this dynamic historical process. The limitation of egoism is the reason of the unrestrained expansion of material interests at the conceptual level, whereas the unrestrained expansion of the interests of the upper class protected by “irrational legislation” is the reason of poverty and confrontation at the institutional level. Based on the insight into these two reasons, with the help of Hegel's philosophy of law, Marx tries to restrain the excessive expansion of private interests by relying on concepts such as “rationality”, “law” and “state authority”, to protest against the extremely unfair system for the distribution of material interests and to solve the material interests problem of the society. However, with the ban of Rheinische Zeitung, Marx soon discovered the limitation of Hegel's philosophy of law, that is, it deviated from reality and was abstract fantasy. He realized that it was necessary to study material interests systematically. This made him determined to turn from the critique of legal philosophy to the critique of political economics.

KCI등재

5中国古代 “存留养亲”条文的历史考察

저자 : 周伯翰 ( Zhou Bohan ) , 潘萍 ( Pan Ping )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 121-148 (28 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

存留养亲制度在中国古代曾延续长达近一千五百年。存留养亲制度创制于北魏孝文帝时期, 成型于唐代, 是指中国古代被判处死刑、流刑、徒刑的罪犯, 其父母或者祖父母没有成年子孙依靠时, 有关官府按照相关条件奏请, 获得皇帝的裁可, 让其能够在身边赡养年老的父母或者祖父母。官府暂时对该罪犯延迟执行刑罚。待年老的父母或者祖父母死后, 再次执行原来刑罚, 或者根据情况的不同再次审查原来判决的刑罚后执行新的刑罚。该制度反映了相关宗法伦理道德向法律规范的上升, 实质是为了强化被统治者的忠孝意识, 以便于维护封建统治。 
本文详细梳理存留养亲条文的历史变迁及其具体内容, 从而为现代法律制度的建设提供历史借鉴, 认为留养亲制度与中国刑法的轻刑化、慎用死刑的发展趋势不谋而合, 因此, 在中国刑法进一步完善的过程当中, 可以借鉴存留养亲制度的积极作用, 将其融入中国刑法屮一部分。目前已有的例子如, 中国新 ≪刑事诉讼法≫对取保候审主体的规定: 对于因应该逮捕的被告人, 如果患有严重 疾病, 或者正在怀孕、哺乳自己婴儿的妇女, 可以取保候审。这条规定蕴含的恤刑理念和以人为本、特别是照顾弱者、防止老幼无人供养的的立法精神, 与存留养亲制度存在共同之处。又如中国的缓刑制度、假释制度和死刑缓期执行制度, 均与存留养亲制度有一定的相似。


In ancient China, the system of keeping and keeping relatives lasted for nearly 1500 years. The system of surviving and supporting parents was established in the period of Emperor Xiaowen of the Northern Wei Dynasty and formed in the Tang Dynasty. It refers to the criminals who were sentenced to death, exile and imprisonment in ancient China. When their parents or grandparents were not dependent on their adult offspring, the relevant government, according to the relevant conditions, obtained the emperor's permission to support their elderly parents or grandparents around. The government temporarily delayed the execution of the criminal's punishment. After the death of the old parents or grandparents, the original penalty shall be executed again, or the new penalty shall be executed after reviewing the original penalty according to different circumstances. This system reflects the rise of related patriarchal ethics to legal norms, in essence, to strengthen the sense of loyalty and filial piety of the ruled, so as to maintain the feudal rule.
This paper combs the historical changes and specific contents of the provisions of family support in detail, so as to provide historical reference for the construction of modern legal system. It holds that the system of family support coincides with the development trend of light punishment and careful use of death penalty in China's criminal law. Therefore, in the process of further improvement of China's criminal law, we can learn from the positive role of the system of family support and integrate it into China's criminal law Part of the law. For example, the new criminal procedure law of China stipulates that the defendant who should be arrested, if suffering from serious disease, or is pregnant or nursing her own baby, can be released on bail. This regulation contains the concept of leniency and the legislative spirit of people-oriented, especially taking care of the weak and preventing the old and the young from being supported by no one, which has something in common with the system of family support. For example, China's probation system, parole system and death penalty probation system are similar to the system of family support.

KCI등재

6김정일 집권 중기 북한의 핵보유 외교전략 및 주변국 정책 -남북방 3각 관계를 중심으로-

저자 : 마효양 ( Ma Xiao Yang ) , 한동균 ( Han Dong Gyoon )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 149-183 (35 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

본 논문은 김정일 집권시기 핵보유 전략을 주변국 정책과 연관하여 분석한 글이다. 언급된 시기는 김정일이 국방위원장으로 추대된 후 유일지도체제를 위한 공식적인 직함을 갖춘 시점을 기준으로 17여년 간의 통치 시기를 유훈통치기, 집권초기, 집권중기, 집권후기 등 4 단계로 나누어 분석을 진행했다. 김정일 집권 중기에 북한은 선군정치를 내세우며 핵무기 계획을 공개적으로 추진했고, 실질적인 핵보유 외교전략을 단행했다. 제1차 핵실험에 성공한 북한은 핵실험 성과를 6자회담의 대외전략 플랫폼으로 삼고, '핵카드'를 전략을 충분히 활용하면서 미국 등 관련국들과 힘겨루기를 시도했다.
또한, 핵보유를 통해 수세국면의 안보공간을 보완하고 정치적 우위를 통해 중국 및 러시아와의 관계를 긴밀하게 유지하며, 한미일과의 전략적 균형을 이루고자 하였다. 북한은 전략적 차원에서 북중관계를 이해했고, 이를 바탕으로 선린우호 협력을 위한 성숙된 신형 국가관계를 수립한다는 정책은 전면에 내세웠다. 러시아와의 관계에서 북한은 선린우호 협력을 위한 신형 국가관계의 수립을 지속적으로 추진하여 북핵문제에 대한 러시아의 지지를 요청했고, 다양한 협력관계를 구축하려 했다. 핵보유를 통한 국가안보의 강화를 주장하면서 핵보유를 근거로 유연한 대응과 대화전략을 함께 구사했다. 즉, '전쟁위기를 조성하는 벼랑 끝 정책'과 '6자회담'을 통해 지속적으로 미국 과 힘겨루기를 시도하였다. 북한은 '핵보유'를 통해 남북간 국방력 격차라는 약점을 보완하려 했고, '민족공조론'에 기반하여 남북교류와 협력을 추진해야 한다고 주장했다. 하지만 남북관계는 이명박 정부시기에 악화를 겪었다. 그리고 미국발 대북제재 조치에서 벗어나기 위해 북한은 대일정책에서도 강경대응과 적절한 대화를 유지하려 했다. 그럼에도 다양한 이슈에 이견차이로 인해 실질적인 진전을 이루어 내지 못했다.


This paper aims to analyze the nuclear ownership diplomacy and the policy toward surrounding powers in the middle period of Kim Jong-Il's administration Kim JongIl's ruled North Korea for more than 17years. The periods of his leadership of North Korea can be divided into four stages, based on his election as chairman of the National Defense Commission, the supreme leader of North Korea: the leadership period of last will and testament of the predecessor, the early period of administration, the middle period of administration and the late period of administration. In the middle period of Kim Jong-Il's rule, based on the military prioritized political line, North Korea began to promote the nuclear development publicly, actualized it's the nuclear ownership diplomacy. Hence the first nuclear test was taken successfully, leading to the outbreak of the second North Korea nuclear crisis. “The nuclear card” and the platform: “the Six-party talks” were taken advantage of to defend the nuclear test achievements.
On the one hand, North Korea hoped to obtain political capital through nuclear capability and tended to restrain the United States through close relations with China and Russia in hope of achieving the goal of strategic balance. Strategically, North Korea-China relations were attached great importance and promoted actively, leading to the comprehensive development of new-type national relations of good-neighborliness, friendship and cooperation. The North Korea-Russia 'new-type national relations of good-neighborliness, friendship and cooperation were propelled. North Korea strived for the support of Russia on the nuclear issue while cooperated with Russia in a flexible way.
On the other hand, North Korea carried out the strategy of owning nuclear weapons for self-protection and launched gaming with the United States to ensure national security, through the “brink-of-nuclear policy” and under the framework of the “six-party talks”. South Korea hoped to possess nuclear weapons to bridge the gap of comprehensive national strength with South Korea. In order to contain the United States and win the assistance and economic interests from South Korea, North Korea also laid emphasis on the national co-operation with South Korea thereby exchanging and cooperating with South Korea under the nuclear crisis. Therefore, North-South relations experienced dialogue during Roh Moo-hyun era and confrontation during Lee Myung-bak era. To relieve the pressure of US sanctions, North Korea kept a moderate dialogue with Japan. Whereas, the North Korea-Japan relations did not make any substantial progress in dialogues and confrontations.

KCI등재

7中国学界关于 “北韩核问题”的研究特点分析 -基于CiteSpace软件的计量统计-)

저자 : 涂波 ( Bo Tu )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 185-211 (27 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

北韩核问题是影响韩半岛和平进程和东北亚发展的绊脚石, 一直以来受到包括中国学界在内国际社会的广泛关注。北韩核问题的发展历程跌宕起伏, 经历了六方会谈、数次核试验, 以及后来的金正恩加速核试验的步伐, 并在2017年试爆氢弹和发射洲际导弹, 到最后以 “平昌奥运会”为起点进入以弃核为最终目标的谈判过程。中国学界也保持着对北韩核问题的关注, 各种研究成果也在不同时期各有特点, 分析中国学界对北核问题的研究具有重要的理论意义和现实指导意义。本文在肯定现存文献的巨大贡献和当中不足后, 运用CiteSpace 软件来提取了中国知网有关北韩核问题的相关文献, 并通过深度挖掘相关科研机构、主要作者和关键词等要素, 解决了中国学术界是如何围绕北韩核问题来展开研究的, 经历了什么样的发展过程, 并在发展过程中出现了什么样的特点等问题。本文通过研究, 发现中国的学界在不同的发展时期都有核心作者和核心科研机构围绕北核问题进行了持续的关注; 同时这些研究可以分为准备-早期-加速-谈判等四个阶段, 每个阶段的学术成果反映了不同时期的客观时事背景, 同时具有各自的研究特点。


The North Korean nuclear issue is a stumbling block to the peace process on the Korean Peninsula and the development of Northeast Asia. The North Korean nuclear issue has gone through series of ups and downs, including the six-party talks, several nuclear tests, the accelerated pace of nuclear tests by Kim, Jongun, a hydrogen bomb test, the launch of ICBM in 2017, and finally the “Pyeongchang Olympics” as the starting point for negotiations which aimed at denuclearization. The Chinese Academic Circle (CAC) has been paying attention to the North Korean nuclear issue since the beginning, and various research results were published. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the North Korean nuclear issue in CAC. Current literature gave enormous contribution to future research, however lack of statistics analysis. This paper, by using CiteSpace software to extract the CAC's North Korean nuclear issue related literature, and through the deep mining the main factors of their scientific research institutions, authors, keywords, solves how CAC studied the Korean peninsula nuclear issue, what kind of development process they experienced, and what kind of characteristics they have. This paper finds that the academic circle in China has several core authors and core scientific research institutions in certain periods of the North Koran nuclear issue. And these researches can be divided into four different periods, and each period's academic achievements have their own characteristics.

KCI등재

8트럼프 시기 중동 정세 변화와 미중의 중동 정책 -미중간의 전략 경쟁 관점에서-

저자 : 임진희 ( Lim Jinhee )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 213-244 (32 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

최근 몇 년간, 국제정세를 분석하는 가장 중요한 배경으로 중국의 부상과 미중 간의 전략적 갈등이 활용되었다. 최근 미국의 중동 정책과 정세 역시도 그러한 맥락에서 고찰과 분석이 가능하다. 미국은 2000년대 들어서 셰일혁명으로 에너지 독립을 이루었고, 이어 대표적인 중동 산유국 사우디아라비아를 제치며 세계 최대 산유국이자 원유 수출국이 되었다. 그러자 향후는 글로벌 전략의 재조정, 축소를 이유로 중동에 관련한 미국의 관심과 개입이 줄어들 것이란 분석이 증가하였다. 나아가 트럼프 집권의 초기 고립주의 성향이 더해지며 수십 년간 중동을 지배해왔던 에너지 지정학 역시 변화가 불가피하단 해석도 증가하였다. 그러나 이와 다르게 점차 미국이 중동 문제에 적극적인 모습을 보이면서 그 배경과 영향에 대한 분석이 이어졌다. 본 논문은 중국과 진행하는 전략적 갈등의 일환으로 미국이 중동에 적극적인 것이라 보았다. 미국이 현재 자국과 갈등 중이며 중동 자원에 대한 의존이 높아 중동에 영향력 확대를 노리는 중국을 견제하려는 것이다. 이러한 관점에서 트럼프 시기 미국의 중동 정책과 정세변화를 살펴보고, 중국의 관련 인식을 분석하려 하였다.


In recent years, the rise of China and the strategic conflict between the U.S. and China have been used as the most important background for analyzing foreign affairs. The recent Middle East policy and situation in the U.S. can also be considered and analyzed in that context. In the 2000s, the U.S. achieved energy independence through the shale revolution, and then surpassed Saudi Arabia, a leading Middle East oil producer, became the world's largest oil producer and oil exporter. As a result, there has been an increase in analysis that the interest and intervention of the US in the Middle East will be reduced in the future due to the global strategic adjustments and reductions.
Furthermore, because of the isolationism in the early days of Trumps administration, the opinion that energy geopolitics, which has dominated the Middle East for decades, also need to change has increased. On the other hand, however, as the U.S. became increasingly active in Middle East affairs, the analysis of its background and impact also increased. This paper considers that the U.S. as active in Middle East as part of the strategic competition with China. The U.S. is trying to keep China in check, which is highly dependent on Middle East resources and is attempt to strengthen its influence in the Middle East. And from the perspective of U.S.-China strategic competition, it tried to analysis the Middle East policy and political circumstance in the U.S. during the Trump administration, China's related perceptions and responses.

KCI등재

9메콩강 경제권 국가들의 경제발전에 미치는 결정요인분석 -5개국 비교를 중심으로-

저자 : Narantsetseg Chinzorigt , 고정오 ( Ko Jung O )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 245-272 (28 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

본 연구는 동남아시아에 위치한 메콩강 경제권 국가들의 경제발전에 영향을 미치는지 요인들을 1996-2019년까지 자료를 이용하여 모형에 따른 분석결과와 메콩강 경제권 각 국가들의 경제성장에 영향을 주는 요인들을 실증분석을 통하여 결론을 도출하였다. 먼저 모형에 따른 분석 결과 모형(1)은 경제성장에 수출과 공적개발원조 변수가 경제성장에 지대한 영향을 준 것으로 분석되었으며, 모형(2)은 외국인직접투자에 경제성장 및 공적개발원조가, 모형(3)은 수출에 경제성장, 외국인직접투자 및 공적개발원조 변수가 가장 많은 영향을 준 것으로 분석되었다. 모형(4)는 수입에 경제성장, 외국인직접투자 및 공적개발원조 변수가 가장 많이 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타냈으며, 마지막 모형(5)은 공적개발원조에 경제성장 및 외국인직접투자가 경제성장에 가장 많은 영향을 미친 것으로 확인되었다. 국가별 분석결과를 보면, 캄보디아는 FDI, 수출, 수입 및 ODA변수가 경제성장에 영향을 미치는 변수로 분석되었으며, 미얀마의 경우 외국인직접투자(FDI), 수출, ODA 변수가 경제성장에 영향을 미치는 변수로 분석되었다. 라오스의 경우 수출, ODA 변수가, 태국의 경우 수출, 베트남의 경우 수입이 경제성장에 가장 포괄적인 영향을 주는 것으로 확인되었다.
즉, 실증분석 결과 메콩강 경제권 국가들은 경제발전에 외국인직접투자 및 공적개발원조가 가장 중요한 결정요인으로 분석되었으며, FDI와 ODA를 바탕으로 수출주도형 경제성장을 추진하며 경제적인 요소와 마찬가지로 정책의 일관성을 유지하는 것이 경제성장의 기반을 조성하는데 필수적이다. 또한 경제성장 도약기에는 외국인직접투자 및 수·출입에 관한 정책실행이 경제발전을 촉진하는데 지대한 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다.


This paper examines to analyze through empirical analysis how the import and export of Mekong sub-regions economies located in Southeast Asia affect economic development. Based on data from 1996 to 2019, comprehensive analysis of the Mekong sub-regions economies showed that exports to economic development and ODA had a profound effect.
Empirical results showing, First, the model(1) was analyzed that export and ODA variables had a profound effect on GDP. Model(2) had the most significant effect on GDP and ODA to foreign direct investment, and model(3) had the most influence on GDP, FDI and ODA variables on Export. Model(4) showed that GDP, FDI, and ODA variables had the most influence on imports, while the final model(5) showed the most growth in GDP and FDI in ODA was confirmed to have an effect.
The comparative analysis by country, FDI, export, import and ODA variables were analyzed as variables affecting economic growth in Cambodia. In Myanmar, foreign direct investment (FDI), export, and ODA variables affect economic growth. Export and ODA variable in Laos, exports in Thailand, and imports in Vietnam were found to have the most comprehensive impact on economic growth.
Empirical analysis show that FDI and ODA were analyzed as the most important determinants for economic development in the Mekong sub-regions. It was essential to maintain the basis of economic growth. Also, it was analyzed that FDI and policy implementation on import and export have a profound effect on promoting economic development.

KCI등재

10중국의 경제적 고통에 관한 연구

저자 : 최준환 ( Choi Joonhwan )

발행기관 : 중국지역학회 간행물 : 중국지역연구 7권 3호 발행 연도 : 2020 페이지 : pp. 273-297 (25 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

중국은 1978년 개혁·개방 정책을 추진하였고 세상에서 유례없는 경제성장을 달성하였다. 이러한 경제성장의 결과 중국국민들의 후생수준은 빠르게 좋아졌다. 그러나 한편에서는 경제성장의 부작용들이 나타나고 있다. 실업과 인플레이션은 국민의 삶에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 변수이기 때문에 많은 경제지표 중에서 매우 중요하다. 실업과 인플레이션은 특히 경제 전반에 부정적인 요소로 작용한다. 아더 오쿤(Arther Okun)은 실업률과 인플레이션의 조합을 이용하여 국민들이 느끼는 경제적인 삶의 어려움을 단순하게 측정할 수 있는 경제고통지수(Misery Index)를 만들었다. 경제고통지수는 실업률과 물가상승률의 합으로 구해진다. 경제고통지수는 국민들이 삶의 질을 평가하는데 사용된다.
따라서 본 연구에서는 경제고통지수를 이용하여 중국의 경제성장이 중국 국민들의 삶의 질을 향상시켰는지 아니면 경제적 고통을 증가시켰는지에 대한 분석하였다. 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 중국의 경제성장과 함께 경제고통지수도 감소하였다. 둘째, 중국의 경제고통지수의 주요 요인은 인플레이션이다. 셋째, 연해지역이 내륙지방 보다 경제고통지수가 낮게 나타났다. 넷째, 연해지역과 내륙지역의 경제고통지수의 차이는 빠르게 감소하고 있다.


China implemented reform and opening-up policies in 1978 and achieved unprecedented economic growth in the world. As a result of this economic growth, the welfare level of the Chinese people has improved rapidly. On the other hand, however, side effects of economic growth are emerging. Unemployment and inflation are very important among many economic indicators because they are the variables that have the greatest impact on people's lives. Unemployment and inflation are especially negative factors for the economy as a whole. Arthur Okun used the combination of unemployment and inflation to create an Economic Misery Index that could simply measure the economic distress people feel in their lives. The Economic Misery Index is obtained by the sum of unemployment and inflation. The Economic Misery Index is used by the people to assess the quality of life.
Therefore, this study analyzed whether China's economic growth improved the quality of life of its people or increased economic pain by using The Economic Misery Index.
The analysis results are as follows. First, along with China's economic growth, economic misery index also declined. Second, the main factor in China's economic misery index is inflation. Third, economic misery index in coastal areas was lower than in inland areas. Fourth, the difference between the economic misery index in coastal and inland areas is rapidly decreasing.

1
권호별 보기
가장 많이 인용된 논문

(자료제공: 네이버학술정보)

가장 많이 인용된 논문
| | | |
1연안해역에서 석유오염물질의 세균학적 분해에 관한 연구

(2006)홍길동 외 1명심리학41회 피인용

다운로드

2미국의 비트코인 규제

(2006)홍길동심리학41회 피인용

다운로드

가장 많이 참고한 논문

(자료제공: 네이버학술정보)

가장 많이 참고한 논문

다운로드

2미국의 비트코인 규제

(2006)홍길동41회 피인용

다운로드

해당 간행물 관심 구독기관

국회도서관 서울대학교 고려대학교 연세대학교 한국외국어대학교
 20
 16
 16
 13
 11
  • 1 국회도서관 (20건)
  • 2 서울대학교 (16건)
  • 3 고려대학교 (16건)
  • 4 연세대학교 (13건)
  • 5 한국외국어대학교 (11건)
  • 6 중앙대학교(서울) (9건)
  • 7 경희대학교 (7건)
  • 8 동아대학교 (6건)
  • 9 성균관대학교 (6건)
  • 10 한국농촌경제연구원 (5건)

내가 찾은 최근 검색어

최근 열람 자료

맞춤 논문

보관함

내 보관함
공유한 보관함

1:1문의

닫기